Finland Crowned Clear Favourite for Eurovision 2026 Victory as Betting Odds Settle Ahead of Vienna Showdown
EurovisionPicks Team ·
With the 70th Eurovision Song Contest just two months away in Austria’s capital, bookmakers have Finland as heavy favourites at around 25% implied probability, ahead of France and Denmark in a fast-moving market.
Vienna, 10 March 2026 – With the 70th Eurovision Song Contest set for 12-16 May at the Wiener Stadthalle, betting markets have begun to crystallise around a clear frontrunner: Finland.
Aggregator EurovisionWorld.com, which compiles live odds from a wide panel of bookmakers including Bet365, Betsson, Unibet, Betano, Ladbrokes, William Hill, and others, currently lists Finland as the outright favourite. The entry "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen holds an average decimal odds of approximately 2.75, translating to a roughly 26% implied probability of victory (after bookmaker margins). This positions Finland ahead of the field following strong support post their UMK national final win.
France follows in second place with Monroe's "Regarde !" at around 9% implied probability (average odds ~7.5-8.0). Denmark's Søren Torpegaard with "Før vi går hjem" sits third at about 9-14% depending on the source, while Greece (Akylas – "Ferto") and Australia (Delta Goodrem – "Eclipse") round out the top five, each hovering between 6-10%.
Odds comparison site Oddschecker shows a similar picture, with Finland at 7/4 (implied ~36% before margin in some snapshots) or 15/8 in recent listings, France at 6/1, Denmark at 7/1 or 13/2, Greece at 10/1, and Australia at similar ranges. William Hill's market echoes this, pricing Finland at 7/4 as the leader, with Denmark and France close behind at 11/2 and 6/1 respectively.
Other notable entries in the top 10 include Israel (Noam Bettan – "Michelle") at around 8-12/1, Sweden (Felicia – "My System") at 14/1, and longer shots like Ukraine, Cyprus, and Czechia. Markets remain dynamic as more rehearsal details and public reactions emerge, but Finland's blend of classical violin flair and pop energy has captured significant punter interest across Europe.
The contest returns to Vienna's familiar Wiener Stadthalle – host in 2015 – following Austria's 2025 win. Semi-finals are scheduled for 12 and 14 May, with the Grand Final on 16 May, co-hosted by Victoria Swarovski and Michael Ostrowski. As always, televote and jury votes will ultimately decide the winner, but early bookmaker consensus points to a Nordic surge.
Punters and fans should note that odds fluctuate frequently; these reflect aggregated data as of 10 March 2026.
Sources: EurovisionWorld.com (live aggregated odds from multiple bookmakers including Bet365, Betsson, Unibet, Betano, Ladbrokes, William Hill)
Oddschecker.com (comparison across UK/Ireland bookmakers)
William Hill betting markets
ESC Today and Eurovisionfun reports on odds movements
Various fan and media updates (e.g., PinkNews, YouTube odds trackers)